What’s in store for us in 2016

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Petronas Twin Towers in KLCC. 2016 will be a tough year for the Malaysian property market. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy

 

The brew of the weakening Ringgit, oversupply in the property market and political climate could impact buying sentiments for this year.

By Khalil Adis

Malaysia faces a delicate balancing act in 2016 in providing affordable homes for locals while trying to lure foreign investors to its property market. The announcements of Budget 2016 clearly dictate that the mass market segment will drive its property market ahead.

However, there have been no revisions to the Real Property Gains Tax (RPGT), minimum purchase price and state levies in popular states like Johor and Kuala Lumpur.

This would make it even more challenging to attract foreign buyers despite the falling Ringgit.

In addition, negative sentiments from the political developments in the country and the perceived oversupply in the market may have spooked potential investors and could result in a “wait-and-see” situation.

With developers marketing high-end projects, they are faced with a difficult situation of finding the right group of buyers in an already small and niche market.

With the pressure to move their existing stocks, they may offer further discounts and other attractive packages.

This would certainly spell good news for buyers with plenty of good deals to be found in the market.

The secondary market will be especially attractive in 2016 as there will be those who are desperate to sell, especially with so much supply in the market.

With this in mind, bargain hunters looking for already completed properties will be spoilt for choice.

Household debts across Malaysia are also on the rise.

This, combined with the increased cost of living, will mean some cannot service their mortgages and will have their homes repossessed.

Therefore, auction properties are expected to rise accordingly, presenting very good buying opportunities for savvy investors.

Here’s a breakdown of the outlook for 2016 by the different popular markets.

Iskandar Malaysia

Iskandar Malaysia received very little interest in Budget 2016 with the exception of the Eastern Gate – in the corridors of Pasir Gudang and Pengerang.

In all, RM18 billion has been allocated for the massive oil and gas Pengerang RAPID project that is expected to have a spillover impact in Pasir Gudang.

In addition, the Budget had also allocated for a new public hospital in Pasir Gudang to cater to its growing population.

While analysts and market watchers are feeling somewhat disappointed with the allocation of budget for Iskandar Malaysia, it also confirms what many have been saying – the Eastern Gate is poised to be the next growth centre in Iskandar Malaysia.

As more jobs are being created, this will fuel demand for homes in and around the Eastern Gate.

The great thing is property prices here are still relatively affordable for locals averaging around RM300 toRM400 per sq ft.

In addition, the state and federal government had allocated spending for public infrastructure.

These include the upgrading of the Pasir Gudang Highway.

In fact, Dato’ Mohamed Khaled Nordin, Chief Minister of Johor had announced that 865 units of affordable housing will be built here by 2018.

Therefore, Johoreans hunting for their first home should target this area.

As for foreign buyers, although they are far and few between, I would say this is the best time to buy a property in Iskandar Malaysia as some developers are desperate.

It is best to get a home for your own stay rather than for investment.

If you are buying for investment, hotel suites are a good choice especially those in JB Sentral and Nusajaya.

Kuala Lumpur

Despite the falling Ringgit, the property market in Kuala Lumpur is admittedly quiet.

Foreign investors are few and far between, while locals feel that they are priced out of the market.

PR1MA homes that are planned around transport hubs and train stations, is a good opportunity for locals to start their property hunts.

A total of 5,000 units of PR1MA and PPA1M houses will be built in the vicinity of LRT and monorail stations in 10 locations, including Pandan Jaya, Sentul and Titiwangsa.

In my opinion, Bangsar is a “to-go-to” location as it has an affluent neighbourhood with plenty of amenities, trendy cafes and shopping malls.

While rentals in Bangsar have remained relatively flat since 2014 remaining at RM3.35 up to the first quarter of 2015, in the secondary market, the capital values based on transacted price has strengthened to RM898 per sq ft.

Thus the secondary market is where all the good deals are.

Selangor

Government linked companies (GLCs) are planning to build 800 affordable homes near MRT lines.

With the Ampang LRT Extension Line now open from Sri Petaling all the way to Putra Heights, plus future extensions along the Kelana Jaya Line, locals should look for housing projects in and around the vicinity.

Kwasa Damansara is also a hot area to watch ou他 for as it will contain two stations within the township.

Penang

The RM27 billion Penang Transport Master plan will drive the property market on the island.

The LRT line will comprise a 17.5km elevated line stretching from Penang International Airport all the way to Menara KOMTAR.

Penangites buying their first homes should look to the Bayan Lepas and Gelugor area near the LRT station.

Those who are priced out from the island should look to Seberang Prai.

For foreigners, avoid the Gurney and Batu Ferringhi area as a massive project being planned will result in massive traffic congestions.

Instead look to properties along the LRT line. I particularly like the Georgetown area due to the heritage sites and abundance of delicious local food there.

Malacca

Hotel suites is a good product to consider in Malacca due to the shortage of quality hotel rooms.

Due to the increasing number of visitors to Malacca, hotels and shopping centres have benefitted immensely from the spill over in the tourism industry.

There is strong pent-up demand among tourists for 4 to 5-star hotels in the city centre due to its convenience and easy access to tourism hot spots like the UNESCO World Heritage Site, Jonker Street and shopping belt.

When investing in hotel suites, make sure to go for mixed-use development with hotels, shopping centres and residential components.

This will ensure good traffic to maximise on your return of investment.

 

This story was first published in the January 2016 issue of iProperty.com Malaysia.

Tips and strategies when investing in Kuala Lumpur and Selangor in 2015

2015 is expected to be a challenging year ahead for the Malaysian property market.  Still, there are opportunities to be sought by both locals and foreign investors

View of Petronas Twin Towers in KLCC. Photo: Khalil Adis.

View of Petronas Twin Towers in KLCC. Photo: Khalil Adis.

By Khalil Adis

I was walking around KLCC and Bukit Bintang one night  and noticed that despite the bright lights emitting from Malaysia’s iconic Petronas Twin Towers, it stands in stark contrast to the many vacant units at the nearby luxurious condominiums.

I recall covering the KL property market back in 2008 when some of the units in KLCC were launched as ‘bungalows in the sky’.

One particularly iconic development that I had visited has units as big as 4,000 sq ft

While living in such apartments is definitely a dream for many, alas, it is out of reach for the majority of Malaysians.

Coupled with the Lehman’s Brothers crisis during the same year,  developers suddenly realised that such units were indeed hard to move as they aren’t affordable to locals while foreign buying had somewhat waned.

Still, there were some high net worth Malaysians and foreigners who had purchased units there as ‘trophy properties’ and to rent them out.

Sadly, that didn’t quite happen.

In this article, I will be sharing with you tips and strategies should you wish to invest in Kuala Lumpur or Selangor in 2015 in the hope that you will minimise your mistakes.

Kuala Lumpur

Most homes in the Klang Valley area are already averaging more than RM600, 000 and are out of reach for first-time homeowners.

Therefore, this market will primarily be driven by middle income and well-to-do locals as well as foreign investors.

Properties in prime areas are priced from around RM2, 000 per sq ft onwards. 

Last year, Kuala Lumpur’s prime areas witnessed a flurry of high-end condominium launches last year in Bukit Bintang and KLCC like Harrod’s and Banyan Tree averaging at RM3, 000 per sq ft.

Despite the prestige of such brand names, many locals tend to shy away from such projects due to overall quantum price.

However, high net worth Malaysians may still snap up such projects as these are considered ‘trophy properties’.

Even so, they are not likely to live in the area, preferring to rent it out or use it as their holiday homes.

For foreigners, these projects will be very popular due to the increase in minimum purchase price and their location right smack in the city centre.

On 1 March 2014, the minimum purchase price for foreigners buying properties in Kuala Lumpur was increased from RM500, 000 to RM1 million.

Hence, if we use RM2, 500 per sq. ft. as a price gauge, a studio apartment of 500 sq. ft. can easily fetch RM1.25 million.

According to DTZ Research, the third quarter of 2014 saw ahealthy amount of new supply with the completion of another five high-end residential projects adding a total of 574 units to the market.

For the first three quarters of 2014, a total of 1,892 units have been completed.

The new completions in the third quarter were mostly locatedin the city centre, namely Brunsfield Residence@U-Thant (93units), Madge Mansions (52 units), One@Bukit Ceylon (354units) and an unnamed high-end residential development at UThant by Bandar Park Sdn Bhd (12 units).

Only one development, Kenny Hills Residence (63 units) is located outside the city centre.

Data from DTZ Research also shows that another 4,604 highend residential units are expected to enter the market by the end of 2014.

Amongst the major developments expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2014 are The Elements (1,040 units) by Elite Forward, Sky Residence-Phase 2: Celesta & Divina (450] units) by SP Setia and Icon Residence (260 units) by Mah Sing Group.

For locals who are thinking of buying a home in the KlangValley area, it is best to get small units like a studio as they can be easily rented out and sold to both locals and foreigners as  their quantum price will be within the range for both locals andforeigners.

In addition, such units are limited in supply making them a rare find.

According to DTZ Research, the high-end residential market in Kuala Lumpur saw marginal growth in the rental values.

Average rents increased 0.7 per cent quarter-on-quarter, from RM3.59 per sq ft per month in the second quarter to RM3.61 per sq ft per month in the third quarter.

Moving forward, average rents are expected to fall due to the almost 6,000 supply of new units will be coming on-stream in city centre from 2016 onwards.

Also, data from National Property and Information Centre(NAPIC), showed that Kuala Lumpur has an existing stock of 434,484 units with an incoming supply of 53,394 units as of thefourth quarter of 2014.

All these factors will put pressure on rental yields.

For those who are thinking of renting out their properties, it is best to take a long-term investment horizon by focusing on capital appreciation.

The luxury sector also saw marginal growth in capital values.

According to DTZ Research, average capital values increased 0.7 per cent quarter-on-quarter, from RM758 per sq ft in the second quarter of 2014 to RM763 per sq ft. in the third quarter.

This is expected to increase marginally, barring any economic crisis.

Selangor

Areas near the MRT extension, spanning from Sungei Buloh to Kajang Line are expected to be popular among locals as it will ease their commute time to Klang Valley, where many jobs are located at.

In addition, there are still affordable properties that can be found here from below RM600,000 – well within the affordability price range for locals.

For locals, buying a property near the upcoming MRT stations will increase the overall desirability, rental attractiveness, and capital values of your property as they will be in demand once the MRT line is completed in 2017.

For foreigners, they might skip Selangor altogether.

This is because there seems to be some sort of anomaly in Selangor’s property market as the minimum purchase price for foreigners has been increased to RM2 million effective 1 September 2014 in Zones 1 and 2.

The two zones include the Petaling, Gombak, Hulu Langat, Sepang, Klang, Kuala Selangor and Kuala Langat districts.

This is rather odd as the entry price in these areas are well below RM1 million.

As Selangor is located outside the Klang Valley area, the minimum purchase price here should follow Kuala Lumpur’s as not many foreigners will need a big space just to qualify for the RM2 million ruling.

In view of this, foreigners may be better off buying a property in Kuala Lumpur instead where the entry price is around RM1 million.

Supply

According to data from NAPIC, Selangor will have the largest incoming supply for new homes in Malaysia as at the fourth  quarter of 2014 bringing it to a total of 157,450 units.

Those who are thinking of renting out their units will face great competition once these units come on-stream in 2016 to 2017.

Therefore, properties that are located close to the MRT lines will be very much in demand and can command higher asking price.

Properties near to upcoming MRT stations with interchange stations such as Kwasa Damansara in Kota Damansara, Sungei Buloh and Kajang will be highly sought after.

Kwasa Land Sdn Bhd is currently building a township in Kwasa Damansara for bumiputeras measuring 2,330 acres.

The township will be served by two MRT stations and four expressways – NKVE, Guthrie, NSE and the proposed Dash Highway.

In Kajang, a PR1MA housing project near the Kajang KTM and MRT stations are in the supply pipeline to be launched in the future starting from around RM158,000.

Properties near to MRT stations generally command a five to 10 per cent premium in pricing compared to others.

Download KL/Selangor Infographic here

This article was first published on Property Insight in its June 2015 issue.